The time machine · every season re-scored under 2026 rules

Champions In Theory

The scoring changed in 2016, 2024 and 2025 — first downs, yardage bonuses, long TDs. What if every season had been scored the way this one is? Every offensive starter's real stat line, re-scored with today's bonuses, added to ESPN's actual total. Same brackets, same lineups, new math. Nothing invented.

Method: K and D/ST never changed and the core (yards, TDs, receptions, turnovers) never changed, so only the bonus stats are re-scored; stat lines come from nflverse (99.6% exact vs ESPN's own lines where both exist). Coverage per season shown on each card. Brackets are replayed with the adjusted winner advancing into the slot the real winner held; a team's score in a later round is its real adjusted score that week.

Verdict

full simulation · same lineups, same schedule, 2026 scoring

Titles that change hands

2024: Tu Puka Madre has the ring. In theory: Team Billy (Pierce Freeman).

2017: Staff Infection has the ring. In theory: Michael Playoff Muralles (Michael Muralles).

Playoff fields that change

2022: out WHO THE **CK IS BIG RED?! · in Night at The Museum

2021: out CONTROLLER SMASH · in Comissioner Trash Mob

2020: out Where Are You Christmas?!?!, Sucio Squad · in PLEASE HELP HELPPPPPP, Team Billy

2018: out Cincinnati Harambes · in FUCK hanuKKKah

2016: out Almost Jameis · in New Jersey Generals

Same six, different seeds

2024 · 2019 · 2017 · 2015

Two readings per season below. Bracket replay keeps the real bracket and only swaps results. Full simulation re-scores the regular season, re-seeds the six (2015–18 division winners seeded 1–2, then record and points — the rule that reproduces every real seed), and plays the fixed bracket (4v5, 3v6 → 1 vs 4/5, 2 vs 3/6 → final) with each team's adjusted score that week. Lineups are what they actually were; nobody gets to re-draft.

2025

same rules as 2026 — nothing to re-score

2025 was scored under the current rules. Nothing to imagine.

2024

coverage 99.2% · 0 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

Tu Puka Madre

Jose Velez Capin

Champion in theory

Tu Puka Madre

Jose Velez Capin · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Team Billy

Pierce Freeman · different from reality

Theory seeds

1 Tiddy Boy LaCroix Logan Gamer

2 Team Billy Pierce Freeman

3 SERENITY NOW!!!! Michael Muralles

4 SweatMeat Spence Ian Spencer

5 Tu Puka Madre Jose Velez Capin

6 New Boot Goffin Bryan Provenzano

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) SweatMeat Spence vs (5) Tu Puka Madre	136.26 – 173.73	Tu Puka Madre
15	wildcard	(3) SERENITY NOW!!!! vs (6) New Boot Goffin	112.64 – 150.24	New Boot Goffin
16	semifinal	(1) Tiddy Boy LaCroix vs (5) Tu Puka Madre	134.35 – 190.41	Tu Puka Madre
16	semifinal	(2) Team Billy vs (6) New Boot Goffin	142.83 – 124.11	Team Billy
17	final	(5) Tu Puka Madre vs (2) Team Billy	137.23 – 142.07	Team Billy

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	SweatMeat Spence vs Tu Puka Madre	136.26 – 173.73real 134.26 – 173.73	Tu Puka Madre	Tu Puka Madre
15	SERENITY NOW!!!! vs New Boot Goffin	112.64 – 150.24real 112.64 – 146.24	New Boot Goffin	New Boot Goffin
16	Team Billy vs Tu Puka Madre	142.83 – 190.41real 140.83 – 187.41	Tu Puka Madre	Tu Puka Madre
16	Tiddy Boy LaCroix vs New Boot Goffin	134.35 – 124.11real 130.35 – 123.11	Tiddy Boy LaCroix	Tiddy Boy LaCroix
17	Tiddy Boy LaCroix vs Tu Puka Madre	124.37 – 137.23real 122.37 – 134.23	Tu Puka Madre	Tu Puka Madre

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	2	Tiddy Boy LaCroixLogan Gamer	10-4	10-4	128.98	130.48	+1.5
2	1	Team BillyPierce Freeman	10-4	10-4	129.07	129.85	+0.8
3	3	SERENITY NOW!!!!Michael Muralles	9-5	9-5	139.51	141.37	+1.9
4	4	SweatMeat SpenceIan Spencer	9-5	9-5	138.25	140.32	+2.1
5	5	Tu Puka MadreJose Velez Capin	8-6	8-6	130.30	131.16	+0.9
6	6	New Boot GoffinBryan Provenzano	8-6	8-6	127.95	129.17	+1.2
7	7	Diggs like it in the ButkerJason Moyer	7-7	7-7	121.41	122.20	+0.8
8	8	More Injuries? SensationalAndrew Sharpe	6-8	6-8	129.87	131.01	+1.1
9	9	Fine, I'll Do It MyselfWill Mason	6-8	6-8	128.46	129.39	+0.9
10	10	Tony Poor is BackConner Mitchell	5-9	5-9	119.36	120.29	+0.9
11	11	Take me HigherDavid Bruce	3-11	3-11	117.28	118.43	+1.2
12	12	TRUMPS AMERICAJosh Stubblefield	3-11	3-11	115.75	116.82	+1.1

2023

coverage 99.4% · 1 regular-season result flip

Actual champion

Give Me A Chubb

Bryan Provenzano

Champion in theory

Give Me A Chubb

Bryan Provenzano · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Give Me A Chubb

Bryan Provenzano · same guy

Theory seeds

1 LaPorta Potties Andrew Sharpe

2 AMARI COOPER ON MY BENCH Chris Fiata

3 Taylormade Championship Squad David Bruce

4 Arthur Smith is a Terrorist Logan Gamer

5 Give Me A Chubb Bryan Provenzano

6 Disappointed Michael Muralles

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) Arthur Smith is a Terrorist vs (5) Give Me A Chubb	109.16 – 182.38	Give Me A Chubb
15	wildcard	(3) Taylormade Championship Squad vs (6) Disappointed	150.38 – 117.02	Taylormade Championship Squad
16	semifinal	(1) LaPorta Potties vs (5) Give Me A Chubb	108.96 – 139.88	Give Me A Chubb
16	semifinal	(2) AMARI COOPER ON MY BENCH vs (3) Taylormade Championship Squad	128.36 – 143.96	Taylormade Championship Squad
17	final	(5) Give Me A Chubb vs (3) Taylormade Championship Squad	140.11 – 126.12	Give Me A Chubb

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	Arthur Smith is a Terrorist vs Give Me A Chubb	109.16 – 182.38real 101.16 – 167.88	Give Me A Chubb	Give Me A Chubb
15	Taylormade Championship Squad vs Disappointed	150.38 – 117.02real 139.88 – 108.52	Taylormade Championship Squad	Taylormade Championship Squad
16	LaPorta Potties vs Give Me A Chubb	108.96 – 139.88real 99.46 – 125.38	Give Me A Chubb	Give Me A Chubb
16	AMARI COOPER ON MY BENCH vs Taylormade Championship Squad	128.36 – 143.96real 118.36 – 134.96	Taylormade Championship Squad	Taylormade Championship Squad
17	Taylormade Championship Squad vs Give Me A Chubb	126.12 – 140.11real 118.62 – 128.86	Give Me A Chubb	Give Me A Chubb

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	LaPorta PottiesAndrew Sharpe	12-2	12-2	136.14	146.68	+10.5
2	2	AMARI COOPER ON MY BENCHChris Fiata	11-3	11-3	128.54	138.43	+9.9
3	3	Taylormade Championship SquadDavid Bruce	9-5	9-5	127.30	137.66	+10.4
4	4	Arthur Smith is a TerroristLogan Gamer	8-6	8-6	127.01	137.26	+10.2
5	5	Give Me A ChubbBryan Provenzano	8-6	8-6	122.22	131.99	+9.8
6	6	DisappointedMichael Muralles	7-7	6-8 (1 flip)	118.28	127.43	+9.2
7	7	Try that in a TEAL TOWNJason Moyer	6-8	6-8	111.19	120.49	+9.3
8	9	Team BillyPierce Freeman	5-9	6-8 (1 flip)	108.73	117.94	+9.2
9	8	Fishookin ACLsJose Velez Capin	6-8	6-8	106.12	114.32	+8.2
10	10	Dem Franchize BoyzConner Mitchell	4-10	4-10	122.30	132.19	+9.9
11	11	Just Dont Get SackoWill Mason	4-10	4-10	115.85	124.89	+9.0
12	12	My Team SUCKSJosh Stubblefield	4-10	4-10	103.70	111.77	+8.1

2022

coverage 98.7% · 2 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

Austin Soured?

Will Mason

Champion in theory

Austin Soured?

Will Mason · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Austin Soured?

Will Mason · same guy

Theory seeds

1 Austin Soured? Will Mason

2 BRICK CITY Chris Fiata

3 Night at The Museum David Bruce · not in the real field

4 PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD Andrew Sharpe

5 THE CONDOR HAS BEEN CLIPPED Josh Stubblefield

6 GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D Michael Muralles

Left out: WHO THE **CK IS BIG RED?!

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD vs (5) THE CONDOR HAS BEEN CLIPPED	145.20 – 105.11	PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD
15	wildcard	(3) Night at The Museum vs (6) GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	89.22 – 166.52	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D
16	semifinal	(1) Austin Soured? vs (4) PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD	155.31 – 122.86	Austin Soured?
16	semifinal	(2) BRICK CITY vs (6) GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	110.67 – 148.41	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D
17	final	(1) Austin Soured? vs (6) GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	98.53 – 91.59	Austin Soured?

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	WHO THE CK IS BIG RED?! vs GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S* MY D	112.66 – 166.52real 104.16 – 155.52	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D
15	THE CONDOR HAS BEEN CLIPPED vs PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD	105.11 – 145.20real 96.36 – 133.70	PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD	PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD
16	BRICK CITY vs GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	110.67 – 148.41real 100.42 – 137.16	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D
16	Austin Soured? vs PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LAD	155.31 – 122.86real 142.06 – 111.86	Austin Soured?	Austin Soured?
17	Austin Soured? vs GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY D	98.53 – 91.59real 90.28 – 85.34	Austin Soured?	Austin Soured?

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	2	Austin Soured?Will Mason	9-5	9-5	127.52	137.55	+10.0
2	1	BRICK CITYChris Fiata	10-4	9-5 (1 flip)	117.06	126.36	+9.3
3	7	Night at The MuseumDavid Bruce	7-7	8-6 (1 flip)	122.68	133.29	+10.6
4	6	PEAK AT DEEZ NUTZ VALLEY LADAndrew Sharpe	7-7	8-6 (1 flip)	123.03	133.21	+10.2
5	3	THE CONDOR HAS BEEN CLIPPEDJosh Stubblefield	8-6	8-6	114.04	123.96	+9.9
6	5	GEORGE WASHINGT CAN S*** MY DMichael Muralles	7-7	7-7	124.38	134.58	+10.2
7	8	Team BillyPierce Freeman	7-7	7-7	117.60	127.63	+10.0
8	4	WHO THE **CK IS BIG RED?!Jason Moyer	8-6	7-7 (1 flip)	112.56	121.19	+8.6
9	9	Proud Member of TuanonBryan Provenzano	6-8	6-8	123.62	134.23	+10.6
10	10	Fountain Hills FalconsLogan Gamer	5-9	5-9	114.41	123.50	+9.1
11	11	Sucio SquadJose Velez Capin	5-9	5-9	112.58	122.40	+9.8
12	12	Wheat and BarleyConner Mitchell	5-9	5-9	109.67	118.48	+8.8

2021

coverage 99.0% · 3 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

Paninis And Payouts

Andrew Sharpe

Champion in theory

Paninis And Payouts

Andrew Sharpe · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Paninis And Payouts

Andrew Sharpe · same guy

Theory seeds

1 TEAM WILLY Michael Muralles

2 Paninis And Payouts Andrew Sharpe

3 BYE Week David Bruce

4 Team Billy Pierce Freeman

5 Stat Padford Conner Mitchell

6 Comissioner Trash Mob Will Mason · not in the real field

Left out: CONTROLLER SMASH

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) Team Billy vs (5) Stat Padford	146.25 – 111.46	Team Billy
15	wildcard	(3) BYE Week vs (6) Comissioner Trash Mob	114.45 – 97.83	BYE Week
16	semifinal	(1) TEAM WILLY vs (4) Team Billy	116.57 – 122.48	Team Billy
16	semifinal	(2) Paninis And Payouts vs (3) BYE Week	160.76 – 147.68	Paninis And Payouts
17	final	(4) Team Billy vs (2) Paninis And Payouts	173.90 – 184.84	Paninis And Payouts

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	CONTROLLER SMASH vs Stat Padford	148.66 – 111.46real 135.16 – 101.96	CONTROLLER SMASH	CONTROLLER SMASH
15	BYE Week vs Team Billy	114.45 – 146.25real 105.70 – 133.50	Team Billy	Team Billy
16	TEAM WILLY vs CONTROLLER SMASH	116.57 – 136.20real 109.32 – 124.70	CONTROLLER SMASH	CONTROLLER SMASH
16	Paninis And Payouts vs Team Billy	160.76 – 122.48real 144.76 – 111.98	Paninis And Payouts	Paninis And Payouts
17	Paninis And Payouts vs CONTROLLER SMASH	184.84 – 144.42real 172.84 – 132.42	Paninis And Payouts	Paninis And Payouts

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	TEAM WILLYMichael Muralles	10-4	10-4	123.56	133.52	+10.0
2	2	Paninis And PayoutsAndrew Sharpe	9-5	9-5	126.41	136.63	+10.2
3	3	BYE WeekDavid Bruce	9-5	9-5	119.66	130.09	+10.4
4	6	Team BillyPierce Freeman	7-7	8-6 (1 flip)	124.29	136.11	+11.8
5	5	Stat PadfordConner Mitchell	7-7	8-6 (1 flip)	125.24	135.42	+10.2
6	8	Comissioner Trash MobWill Mason	7-7	7-7	118.36	127.95	+9.6
7	4	CONTROLLER SMASHChris Fiata	7-7	6-8 (1 flip)	126.46	136.70	+10.2
8	7	Sucio SquadJose Velez Capin	7-7	6-8 (1 flip)	121.30	131.27	+10.0
9	10	Screw You KirkBryan Provenzano	5-9	6-8 (1 flip)	120.32	129.44	+9.1
10	9	BRING BACK MY KING HENRYLogan Gamer	6-8	6-8	113.41	123.73	+10.3
11	12	Goodbye #1!!!!!!Josh Stubblefield	5-9	5-9	108.48	116.46	+8.0
12	11	GOODBYE 4 GOOD LESSER THAN!Jason Moyer	5-9	4-10 (1 flip)	111.34	120.88	+9.5

2020

coverage 99.6% · 4 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

THE CHAMP !!

David Bruce

Champion in theory

THE CHAMP !!

David Bruce · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

THE CHAMP !!

David Bruce · same guy

Theory seeds

1 THE CHAMP !! David Bruce

2 The GOAT House Bryan Provenzano

3 JPP's Finger Bangers Chris Fiata

4 GODSPEED MICHAEL Jason Moyer

5 PLEASE HELP HELPPPPPP Michael Muralles · not in the real field

6 Team Billy Pierce Freeman · not in the real field

Left out: Where Are You Christmas?!?!, Sucio Squad

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
14	wildcard	(4) GODSPEED MICHAEL vs (5) PLEASE HELP HELPPPPPP	120.89 – 103.94	GODSPEED MICHAEL
14	wildcard	(3) JPP's Finger Bangers vs (6) Team Billy	163.35 – 144.54	JPP's Finger Bangers
15	semifinal	(1) THE CHAMP !! vs (4) GODSPEED MICHAEL	141.85 – 0.00	THE CHAMP !!
15	semifinal	(2) The GOAT House vs (3) JPP's Finger Bangers	191.79 – 103.24	The GOAT House
16	final	(1) THE CHAMP !! vs (2) The GOAT House	173.17 – 145.01	THE CHAMP !!

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
14	Where Are You Christmas?!?! vs GODSPEED MICHAEL	131.74 – 120.89real 122.74 – 113.64	Where Are You Christmas?!?!	Where Are You Christmas?!?!
14	JPP's Finger Bangers vs Sucio Squad	163.35 – 129.75real 150.60 – 120.00	JPP's Finger Bangers	JPP's Finger Bangers
15	THE CHAMP !! vs Where Are You Christmas?!?!	141.85 – 131.01real 131.10 – 122.26	THE CHAMP !!	THE CHAMP !!
15	The GOAT House vs JPP's Finger Bangers	191.79 – 103.24real 177.54 – 96.74	The GOAT House	The GOAT House
16	THE CHAMP !! vs The GOAT House	173.17 – 145.01real 159.42 – 132.26	THE CHAMP !!	THE CHAMP !!

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	THE CHAMP !!David Bruce	10-3	10-3	135.21	147.05	+11.8
2	2	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	9-4	10-3 (1 flip)	119.17	129.73	+10.6
3	3	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	7-6	7-6	134.14	143.95	+9.8
4	5	GODSPEED MICHAELJason Moyer	7-6	7-6	125.28	135.95	+10.7
5	9	PLEASE HELP HELPPPPPPMichael Muralles	5-8	7-6 (2 flips)	120.86	131.47	+10.6
6	7	Team BillyPierce Freeman	6-7	6-7	122.81	133.33	+10.5
7	11	Cincinnati HarambesLogan Gamer	5-8	6-7 (1 flip)	113.08	123.85	+10.8
8	8	Oh, wrong Fantasy nightWill Mason	6-7	6-7	108.70	117.75	+9.0
9	6	Sucio SquadJose Velez Capin	7-6	6-7 (1 flip)	108.17	117.61	+9.4
10	4	Where Are You Christmas?!?!Andrew Sharpe	7-6	5-8 (2 flips)	128.30	139.16	+10.9
11	10	MOYERS BEING A BABYJosh Stubblefield	5-8	5-8	120.15	129.02	+8.9
12	12	Demsomes PoogieConner Mitchell	4-9	3-10 (1 flip)	113.83	123.66	+9.8

2019

coverage 99.2% · 3 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

ANAL LYTICS

Will Mason

Champion in theory

ANAL LYTICS

Will Mason · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

ANAL LYTICS

Will Mason · same guy

Theory seeds

1 ANAL LYTICS Will Mason

2 LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!! Michael Muralles

3 Smell My Fingers Josh Stubblefield

4 The GOAT House Bryan Provenzano

5 Whip the McLaurin Conner Mitchell

6 The League of Sharpe Gets 1st Andrew Sharpe

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
14	wildcard	(4) The GOAT House vs (5) Whip the McLaurin	163.87 – 127.98	The GOAT House
14	wildcard	(3) Smell My Fingers vs (6) The League of Sharpe Gets 1st	99.02 – 140.52	The League of Sharpe Gets 1st
15	semifinal	(1) ANAL LYTICS vs (4) The GOAT House	194.05 – 129.23	ANAL LYTICS
15	semifinal	(2) LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!! vs (6) The League of Sharpe Gets 1st	144.52 – 165.14	The League of Sharpe Gets 1st
16	final	(1) ANAL LYTICS vs (6) The League of Sharpe Gets 1st	130.65 – 103.86	ANAL LYTICS

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
14	Smell My Fingers vs Whip the McLaurin	99.02 – 127.98real 90.52 – 118.48	Whip the McLaurin	Whip the McLaurin
14	The GOAT House vs The League of Sharpe Gets 1st	163.87 – 140.52real 154.12 – 127.52	The GOAT House	The GOAT House
15	ANAL LYTICS vs Whip the McLaurin	194.05 – 89.51real 176.30 – 81.76	ANAL LYTICS	ANAL LYTICS
15	LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!! vs The GOAT House	144.52 – 129.23real 135.02 – 118.98	LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!	LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!
16	ANAL LYTICS vs LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!	130.65 – 111.71real 118.90 – 100.46	ANAL LYTICS	ANAL LYTICS

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	ANAL LYTICSWill Mason	10-3	10-3	142.03	153.86	+11.8
2	2	LETS FUCKING GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!Michael Muralles	10-3	10-3	121.42	132.13	+10.7
3	4	Smell My FingersJosh Stubblefield	8-5	9-4 (1 flip)	120.20	130.45	+10.2
4	3	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	8-5	8-5	128.42	138.31	+9.9
5	5	Whip the McLaurinConner Mitchell	7-6	8-5 (1 flip)	117.64	127.47	+9.8
6	6	The League of Sharpe Gets 1stAndrew Sharpe	6-7	6-7	128.89	139.39	+10.5
7	7	Guy cant handle a Jax ThursdayJason Moyer	6-7	6-7	114.05	123.45	+9.4
8	9	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	5-8	5-8	115.53	124.32	+8.8
9	10	The North Will Rise AgainJose Velez Capin	5-8	5-8	114.08	123.33	+9.2
10	11	Team BillyPierce Freeman	4-9	4-9	107.08	116.77	+9.7
11	12	Cincinnati HarambesLogan Gamer	3-10	4-9 (1 flip)	106.23	115.27	+9.0
12	8	MikeShit Himself4xSRyearDavid Bruce	6-7	3-10 (3 flips)	109.38	117.96	+8.6

2018

coverage 99.2% · 2 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

Succop on Deez Nuts

Conner Mitchell

Champion in theory

Succop on Deez Nuts

Conner Mitchell · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Succop on Deez Nuts

Conner Mitchell · same guy

Theory seeds

1 Team Billy Pierce Freeman

2 Succop on Deez Nuts Conner Mitchell

3 Thats Some Good Shit Will Mason

4 The GOAT House Bryan Provenzano

5 Playoffs? Is That You? Josh Stubblefield

6 FUCK hanuKKKah Michael Muralles · not in the real field

Left out: Cincinnati Harambes

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
14	wildcard	(4) The GOAT House vs (5) Playoffs? Is That You?	160.95 – 103.54	The GOAT House
14	wildcard	(3) Thats Some Good Shit vs (6) FUCK hanuKKKah	108.77 – 146.85	FUCK hanuKKKah
15	semifinal	(1) Team Billy vs (4) The GOAT House	96.94 – 142.39	The GOAT House
15	semifinal	(2) Succop on Deez Nuts vs (6) FUCK hanuKKKah	156.86 – 134.67	Succop on Deez Nuts
16	final	(4) The GOAT House vs (2) Succop on Deez Nuts	138.13 – 140.14	Succop on Deez Nuts

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
14	Cincinnati Harambes vs The GOAT House	106.72 – 160.95real 98.22 – 148.70	The GOAT House	The GOAT House
14	Thats Some Good Shit vs Playoffs? Is That You?	108.77 – 103.54real 99.02 – 93.54	Thats Some Good Shit	Thats Some Good Shit
15	Team Billy vs The GOAT House	96.94 – 142.39real 89.94 – 130.64	The GOAT House	The GOAT House
15	Succop on Deez Nuts vs Thats Some Good Shit	156.86 – 92.12real 142.36 – 85.62	Succop on Deez Nuts	Succop on Deez Nuts
16	Succop on Deez Nuts vs The GOAT House	140.14 – 138.13real 128.64 – 125.88	Succop on Deez Nuts	Succop on Deez Nuts

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	Team BillyPierce Freeman	10-3	11-2 (1 flip)	145.74	157.80	+12.1
2	2	Thats Some Good ShitWill Mason	7-6	7-6	131.05	142.23	+11.2
3	4	Succop on Deez NutsConner Mitchell	7-6	7-6	125.65	137.28	+11.6
4	5	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	7-6	7-6	125.35	135.68	+10.3
5	6	Playoffs? Is That You?Josh Stubblefield	7-6	7-6	119.04	129.00	+10.0
6	10	FUCK hanuKKKahMichael Muralles	5-8	6-7 (1 flip)	134.87	145.47	+10.6
7	3	Cincinnati HarambesLogan Gamer	7-6	6-7 (1 flip)	126.65	136.51	+9.9
8	7	Sucio SquadJose Velez Capin	6-7	6-7	121.48	131.58	+10.1
9	8	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	6-7	6-7	120.02	130.35	+10.3
10	9	Dezperate 4 A WinAndrew Sharpe	6-7	6-7	118.30	127.80	+9.5
11	12	WAR READYDavid Bruce	5-8	5-8	114.87	125.00	+10.1
12	11	Where are you, Chriistmaaass?Jason Moyer	5-8	4-9 (1 flip)	119.98	129.52	+9.5

2017

coverage 99.1% · 1 regular-season result flip

Actual champion

Staff Infection

Conner Mitchell

Champion in theory

Staff Infection

Conner Mitchell · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

Michael Playoff Muralles

Michael Muralles · different from reality

Theory seeds

1 Michael Playoff Muralles Michael Muralles

2 Sucio Squad Jose Velez Capin

3 Staff Infection Conner Mitchell

4 Thielen Myself David Bruce

5 The GOAT House Bryan Provenzano

6 Cincinnati Harambes Logan Gamer

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
14	wildcard	(4) Thielen Myself vs (5) The GOAT House	114.84 – 83.13	Thielen Myself
14	wildcard	(3) Staff Infection vs (6) Cincinnati Harambes	112.37 – 121.62	Cincinnati Harambes
15	semifinal	(1) Michael Playoff Muralles vs (4) Thielen Myself	125.36 – 106.78	Michael Playoff Muralles
15	semifinal	(2) Sucio Squad vs (6) Cincinnati Harambes	141.54 – 97.13	Sucio Squad
16	final	(1) Michael Playoff Muralles vs (2) Sucio Squad	140.71 – 137.48	Michael Playoff Muralles

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
14	Thielen Myself vs The GOAT House	114.84 – 83.13real 103.34 – 77.38	Thielen Myself	Thielen Myself
14	Michael Playoff Muralles vs Cincinnati Harambes	154.97 – 121.62real 139.72 – 114.12	Michael Playoff Muralles	Michael Playoff Muralles
15	Staff Infection vs Thielen Myself	118.13 – 106.78real 109.38 – 99.78	Staff Infection	Staff Infection
15	Sucio Squad vs Michael Playoff Muralles	141.54 – 125.36real 131.04 – 116.36	Sucio Squad	Sucio Squad
16	Staff Infection vs Sucio Squad	137.69 – 137.48real 129.94 – 127.98	Staff Infection	Staff Infection

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	2	Michael Playoff MurallesMichael Muralles	8-5	9-4 (1 flip)	119.95	130.58	+10.6
2	1	Staff InfectionConner Mitchell	8-5	8-5	123.78	133.24	+9.5
3	3	Thielen MyselfDavid Bruce	8-5	8-5	110.84	119.50	+8.7
4	4	Sucio SquadJose Velez Capin	7-6	7-6	119.66	128.99	+9.3
5	5	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	7-6	7-6	116.86	126.82	+10.0
6	6	Cincinnati HarambesLogan Gamer	7-6	7-6	101.87	109.72	+7.8
7	7	Nerd And A JockAndrew Sharpe	7-6	7-6	101.76	109.66	+7.9
8	8	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	6-7	6-7	120.13	130.11	+10.0
9	9	Im TankingJosh Stubblefield	6-7	6-7	117.64	126.82	+9.2
10	11	Rocket ManWill Mason	5-8	5-8	112.74	122.20	+9.5
11	10	KIA is a vastly Superior MachinJason Moyer	6-7	5-8 (1 flip)	109.85	118.69	+8.8
12	12	XL ROMPERRyan McClane	3-10	3-10	108.18	116.60	+8.4

2016

coverage 98.4% · 2 regular-season results flip

Actual champion

THE FUCKING CHAMP

Michael Muralles

Champion in theory

THE FUCKING CHAMP

Michael Muralles · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

THE FUCKING CHAMP

Michael Muralles · same guy

Theory seeds

1 Sit N Spin Ryan McClane

2 All About The Benjamins Will Mason

3 THE FUCKING CHAMP Michael Muralles

4 I'm Fishookin Duffs Jose Velez Capin

5 Cincinnati Harambes Logan Gamer

6 New Jersey Generals Josh Stubblefield · not in the real field

Left out: Almost Jameis

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) I'm Fishookin Duffs vs (5) Cincinnati Harambes	105.27 – 126.74	Cincinnati Harambes
15	wildcard	(3) THE FUCKING CHAMP vs (6) New Jersey Generals	108.53 – 103.36	THE FUCKING CHAMP
16	semifinal	(1) Sit N Spin vs (5) Cincinnati Harambes	122.48 – 179.96	Cincinnati Harambes
16	semifinal	(2) All About The Benjamins vs (3) THE FUCKING CHAMP	130.63 – 202.33	THE FUCKING CHAMP
17	final	(5) Cincinnati Harambes vs (3) THE FUCKING CHAMP	105.05 – 109.85	THE FUCKING CHAMP

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	I'm Fishookin Duffs vs Almost Jameis	105.27 – 126.28real 96.02 – 114.28	Almost Jameis	Almost Jameis
15	Sit N Spin vs Cincinnati Harambes	125.49 – 126.74real 113.74 – 116.74	Cincinnati Harambes	Cincinnati Harambes
16	THE FUCKING CHAMP vs Almost Jameis	202.33 – 119.36real 189.08 – 110.86	THE FUCKING CHAMP	THE FUCKING CHAMP
16	All About The Benjamins vs Cincinnati Harambes	130.63 – 179.96real 123.38 – 166.96	Cincinnati Harambes	Cincinnati Harambes
17	THE FUCKING CHAMP vs Cincinnati Harambes	109.85 – 105.05real 102.10 – 98.30	THE FUCKING CHAMP	THE FUCKING CHAMP

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	2	Sit N SpinRyan McClane	10-4	11-3 (1 flip)	123.36	134.45	+11.1
2	1	THE FUCKING CHAMPMichael Muralles	10-4	10-4	134.00	144.50	+10.5
3	3	I'm Fishookin DuffsJose Velez Capin	10-4	9-5 (1 flip)	118.29	128.18	+9.9
4	4	All About The BenjaminsWill Mason	9-5	9-5	115.17	124.61	+9.4
5	6	Cincinnati HarambesLogan Gamer	7-7	7-7	121.62	130.15	+8.5
6	7	New Jersey GeneralsJosh Stubblefield	7-7	7-7	118.18	127.20	+9.0
7	5	Almost JameisDavid Bruce	8-6	7-7 (1 flip)	116.46	125.53	+9.1
8	8	Big Daddy Ding a LingConner Mitchell	7-7	7-7	105.40	113.93	+8.5
9	9	God Please, Not the SackoJason Moyer	6-8	6-8	119.18	129.68	+10.5
10	10	Gamer Is A Salty JewAndrew Sharpe	4-10	5-9 (1 flip)	104.44	113.28	+8.8
11	11	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	3-11	3-11	117.99	127.76	+9.8
12	12	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	3-11	3-11	103.06	111.81	+8.8

2015

coverage 97.7% · 1 regular-season result flip

Actual champion

JPP's Finger Bangers

Chris Fiata

Champion in theory

JPP's Finger Bangers

Chris Fiata · same guy

Full simulation · re-seeded

Champion, full simulation

JPP's Finger Bangers

Chris Fiata · same guy

Theory seeds

1 ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTS Andrew Sharpe

2 JPP's Finger Bangers Chris Fiata

3 I owe the Jews money Josh Stubblefield

4 No Trades David Bruce

5 I'm Fishookin Duffs Jose Velez Capin

6 Big Daddy Ding a Ling Conner Mitchell

Wk	Round	Matchup	Adj score	Winner
15	wildcard	(4) No Trades vs (5) I'm Fishookin Duffs	90.98 – 171.85	I'm Fishookin Duffs
15	wildcard	(3) I owe the Jews money vs (6) Big Daddy Ding a Ling	192.65 – 143.09	I owe the Jews money
16	semifinal	(1) ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTS vs (5) I'm Fishookin Duffs	121.81 – 106.10	ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTS
16	semifinal	(2) JPP's Finger Bangers vs (3) I owe the Jews money	158.95 – 118.68	JPP's Finger Bangers
17	final	(1) ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTS vs (2) JPP's Finger Bangers	95.83 – 132.91	JPP's Finger Bangers

Bracket replay · real bracket, adjusted results

Wk	Matchup (as replayed)	Adj score	Real result	In theory
15	No Trades vs Big Daddy Ding a Ling	90.98 – 143.09real 84.48 – 132.34	Big Daddy Ding a Ling	Big Daddy Ding a Ling
15	I owe the Jews money vs I'm Fishookin Duffs	192.65 – 171.85real 177.90 – 159.10	I owe the Jews money	I owe the Jews money
16	ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTS vs Big Daddy Ding a Ling	121.81 – 153.88real 112.06 – 137.38	Big Daddy Ding a Ling	Big Daddy Ding a Ling
16	JPP's Finger Bangers vs I owe the Jews money	158.95 – 118.68real 145.20 – 111.68	JPP's Finger Bangers	JPP's Finger Bangers
17	JPP's Finger Bangers vs Big Daddy Ding a Ling	132.91 – 109.12real 122.66 – 100.12	JPP's Finger Bangers	JPP's Finger Bangers

Regular season under 2026 rules

Theory	Real	Team	Real W-L	Theory W-L	PPG	aPPG	Δ/game
1	1	ALL I DO IS WIN BY .1 POINTSAndrew Sharpe	10-4	10-4	122.64	132.98	+10.3
2	2	I owe the Jews moneyJosh Stubblefield	9-5	9-5	120.69	131.12	+10.4
3	3	JPP's Finger BangersChris Fiata	9-5	9-5	114.52	124.62	+10.1
4	4	No TradesDavid Bruce	9-5	9-5	113.44	122.83	+9.4
5	6	I'm Fishookin DuffsJose Velez Capin	8-6	8-6	117.07	125.36	+8.3
6	5	Big Daddy Ding a LingConner Mitchell	8-6	7-7 (1 flip)	130.11	140.93	+10.8
7	7	I Am A Free ManRyan McClane	7-7	7-7	124.25	134.25	+10.0
8	8	How I Lucked Your MotherWill Mason	6-8	7-7 (1 flip)	122.14	131.96	+9.8
9	9	The GOAT HouseBryan Provenzano	6-8	6-8	117.75	126.46	+8.7
10	10	Screwed by the Le'Veon BellMichael Muralles	6-8	6-8	113.17	120.86	+7.7
11	11	Poppin BortlesJason Moyer	4-10	4-10	99.58	106.76	+7.2
12	12	IM TILTINGLogan Gamer	2-12	2-12	98.44	106.86	+8.4